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Experimental Gerontology

Elsevier BV

Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match Experimental Gerontology's content profile, based on 11 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Study protocol: Longitudinal observational study on frailty and mental health

Mikolic Brence, P.; Bregar, B.; Vatovec, K.; Bertole, T.; Ferlan Istinic, M.; Oreski, S.; Vinko, M.

2026-04-02 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.01.26349941 medRxiv
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Introduction: Frailty is a dynamic condition associated with increased vulnerability to adverse health outcomes in older adults. While previous research has primarily focused on deficit-based mental health factors, such as depression and loneliness, less is known about the role of positive mental health determinants, including well-being, resilience and social connectedness, in the development and progression of frailty. Understanding both risk and protective factors is essential for informing public health strategies aimed at promoting healthy ageing. This study aims to examine the longitudinal relationship between mental health and frailty in a nationally sampled population of adults aged 50 years and older in Slovenia. Methods and analysis: This longitudinal observational study will collect data at four time points over a two-year period (January 2026-March 2028). A stratified random sample of community-dwelling adults aged 50-84 years will be drawn from the national population registry, with 5,000 individuals invited to participate in the first wave. Frailty, mental health and a set of social, psychological, and health-related factors will be assessed. Data will be analyzed using a combination of descriptive, inferential and longitudinal statistical methods to examine associations between frailty and mental health over time. Potential explanatory factors will also be explored within the longitudinal framework, and additional analyses will assess the impact of attrition. Ethics and dissemination: The study has been approved by the Ethics and Deontology Committee of the National Institute of Public Health. Participation is voluntary, and informed consent will be obtained from all participants. Data will be anonymized and handled in accordance with applicable data protection regulations. Findings will be disseminated through peer-reviewed publications, conference presentations and public health reports to inform strategies for promoting healthy ageing.

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Self-reported sleep problems are associated with impaired daily-life gait quality and increased fall risk in older people

van Schooten, K. S.; Vakulin, A.; Khanal, R.; Sansom, K.; Bletsas, J.; Delbaere, K.

2026-04-06 geriatric medicine 10.64898/2026.03.30.26349800 medRxiv
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Background: Sleep problems are common in older people and have been associated with increased fall risk, but the mechanisms underlying this relationship remain unclear. Gait quality reflects balance control and neurological function and may provide insight into pathways linking sleep health and falls. Methods: Data from 758 community-dwelling older people ([≥]65 years; mean age 75.8 years, 69.3% women) were analysed. Sleep problems were assessed at baseline using a self-reported item (Patient Health Questionnaire-9, question 3). Daily-life gait quality and habitual walking speed were derived from one week of wearable sensor monitoring. Falls and injurious falls were prospectively recorded over 12 months. Associations between sleep problems, gait quality, and fall incidence were examined using regression models adjusted for demographic, pain and cognitive factors, and use of sleeping medication. Results: Sleep problems were reported by 43.9% of participants. Sleep problems were not associated with habitual walking speed, but were associated with lower gait quality in daily life (adjusted {beta} = -0.15, 95% CI -0.27 to -0.03). Participants reporting sleep problems had higher incidence rates of total falls (adjusted IRR = 1.42, 95% CI 1.07 to 1.90) and injurious falls (adjusted IRR = 1.50, 95% CI 1.07 to 2.10). Conclusions: Self-reported sleep problems were associated with impaired real-world gait quality and substantially higher rates of falls and injurious falls in older people. These findings suggest that sleep problems may increase fall risk by altering balance control rather than by reducing walking speed. Sleep should be considered when managing fall risk, and fall risk should be considered in older people with sleep complaints.

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Risk Factors for Cardiovascular Disease in Community-Dwelling Older Adults: The Potential Role of Dual Screening for Chronic Kidney Disease and Sarcopenia

Nishida, T.; Hanamura, I.; Honda, S.; Honda, A.

2026-03-31 geriatric medicine 10.64898/2026.03.29.26349633 medRxiv
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Objectives: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a leading cause of mortality and disability in older populations. This study aimed to identify CVD risk factors in community-dwelling older adults and to examine whether frailty-related factors (sarcopenia and nutritional status) interact with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Methods: This cross-sectional study included 307 community-dwelling Japanese adults aged [&ge;]65 years between September 2024 and March 2025. CVD history was assessed based on self-reported physician diagnoses obtained through a structured questionnaire. Lifestyle-related factors included hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, and body mass index (BMI). Frailty-related factors included sarcopenia (Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia 2019 criteria), nutritional status (Mini Nutritional Assessment-Short Form), and physical activity (International Physical Activity Questionnaire-Short Form). CKD was defined using the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR): non-CKD ([&ge;]60 mL/min/1.73 m2) and CKD (<60 mL/min/1.73 m2). Multivariable logistic regression identified independent correlates of CVD, and interactions between CKD and frailty-related factors were tested. Results: The prevalence of CVD was 17.9%. Independent correlates included CKD (aOR 5.0), hypertension (aOR 4.0), male sex (aOR 3.1), undernutrition (aOR 2.7), sarcopenia (aOR 2.7), and low physical activity (aOR 2.5). No significant interactions were observed between CKD and sarcopenia (p = 0.70) or nutritional status (p = 0.40). Conclusions: CKD, sarcopenia, undernutrition, and low physical activity were independently associated with CVD, with no interaction between CKD and frailty factors. These findings suggest that integrated management addressing both renal function and frailty-related factors may be important for CVD prevention in older adults.

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Online Mindfulness for Later Life: a feasibility study of a Public Mental Health intervention to increase resilience for Older Adults

Pacini, A.; Kishita, N.; Hawkins, G.; Nicholson, M.; Stickland, A.; Gould, R.

2026-04-05 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.01.26349967 medRxiv
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Abstract Background: Resilience is acknowledged to be an important component for successful aging in older adults, but there is scant evidence with which to inform public health interventions for this age group. The aim of this study is to determine whether the public health intervention, mindfulness for later life is both feasible and acceptable to older adults. Methods: Participants were recruited from September 2021 to June 2022 through older adult organisations and charities, such as the University of the Third Age, Age UK, and Age Concern, and by adverts distributed through village newsletters and support organisations. Participants were offered six weekly sessions of mindfulness therapy, the program was based on the mindfulness-based stress reduction program, each session was two hours long with 10-15 participants per program. The following two pre-defined indicators of success needed to be met for the program to be deemed feasible: successful uptake (recruitment of 30 participants over nine months) and initial engagement. Results: Thirty-three potential participants were screened for eligibility over nine months, 31 of whom were recruited to the study (103% of the target sample). Of these, 28 participants (90%) completed four or more online sessions. Thus, predefined indicators of feasibility were met. Conclusions: This study supports the feasibility of delivering the mindfulness for later life program as a public health intervention, including recruitment and treatment completion. A full-scale trial to assess the clinical- and cost-effectiveness of the intervention including its long-term effects is warranted.

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Pre-Dementia Indicators and Multidomain Vulnerabilities: Insights from AD8 Screening in Older Chinese Speaking Adults

You, W.; Koo, F. K.; Cheng, Y.; Huang, J.; Huang, H.; Li, M.; Sevastidis, J.; Chang, H.-C.

2026-04-13 geriatric medicine 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350424 medRxiv
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BackgroundEarly recognition of dementia-related changes is critical for timely intervention. The AD8 Dementia Screening Interview (AD8) detects subtle cognitive and functional changes, yet its broader associations with health and wellbeing among Chinese-speaking older adults remain underexplored. MethodsA cross-sectional study was conducted with 144 community-dwelling Chinese older adults (mean age 73.1 years; 81.3% female). Participants completed sociodemographic, health, functional, and psychosocial measures, including the AD8 and the Geriatric Depression Scale (GDS-15). Exploratory Factor Analysis (EFA) assessed the dimensionality of the AD8, and binary logistic regression examined associations between AD8 items and demographic, health, functional, and psychosocial outcomes. ResultsChronic disease was prevalent (68.1 percent), and 13.2 percent reported a mental health disorder. EFA identified three domains: memory impairment, executive and interest decline, and functional recall difficulties, explaining 61.7 percent of the variance. Logistic regression showed predictive roles for judgment problems (AD8_1), repetition (AD8_3), financial difficulties (AD8_6), tool-use difficulties (AD8_4), and daily memory problems (AD8_8). Financial and executive difficulties were associated with age and mobility challenges, while repetition predicted psychological disorders and hopelessness. Judgment problems were linked to lower life satisfaction and happiness but greater helplessness. Worthlessness was predicted by financial, tool-use, and memory difficulties, whereas intact temporal recall (AD8_5) was protective. Several outcomes including boredom, low energy, and staying home were not significant. ConclusionDistinct AD8 items predicted vulnerabilities across physical, psychological, and social domains. Findings highlight the multidimensional value of the AD8 as a culturally relevant screening and risk stratification tool for community-based assessments of Chinese older adults. Summary Statement Implications for PracticeO_ST_ABSWhat does this research add to existing knowledge in gerontology?C_ST_ABSThis study shows that specific AD8 items identify early multidimensional vulnerability among community-dwelling Chinese-speaking older adults. Difficulties with judgment, repetition, financial management, tool use, and daily memory were associated with functional limitations and psychosocial distress, extending the AD8 beyond dementia screening alone. The identification of three AD8 domains supports a broader understanding of early cognitive change as involving cognitive, functional, and emotional processes. The findings contribute culturally specific evidence from an under-researched population in gerontological research. What are the implications of this new knowledge for nursing care with older people?For nursing practice, the AD8 provides a brief, feasible tool to support holistic assessment in community and aged care settings. Key AD8 indicators can guide nurses in identifying older people at risk of functional decline and emotional vulnerability, enabling earlier, person-centred interventions. The findings highlight the importance of culturally and linguistically appropriate assessment when caring for diverse ageing populations. How could the findings be used to influence policy or practice or research or education?The results support integrating brief cognitive screening into routine nursing assessments and community-based aged care services to promote early identification and ageing in place. Nursing education should emphasise interpreting cognitive screening within psychosocial and cultural contexts. Longitudinal research is needed to assess intervention effectiveness. Key Points[tpltrtarr] Early cognitive changes matter for older Chinese-speaking adults, because difficulties with judgment, repetition, financial management, and tool use (AD8 domains) were consistently linked to poorer functional and psychosocial outcomes. [tpltrtarr]Beyond dementia screening, the AD8 proved useful for detecting vulnerabilities in wellbeing and daily functioning, extending its role beyond diagnostic sensitivity. [tpltrtarr]A cultural focus is vital, as this study is among the first to examine AD8 associations in older Chinese-speaking adults, underscoring the need for culturally tailored screening. [tpltrtarr]The psychosocial impact of cognitive changes was evident, with strong associations to helplessness, worthlessness, and reduced life satisfaction, reinforcing the overlap between cognitive and emotional health. [tpltrtarr]In practice, integrating AD8 screening into community and primary care could help identify at-risk individuals early and support targeted interventions in culturally and linguistically diverse populations.

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Trajectories of physical activity components among community-dwelling older adults.

Hoogerheide, B.; Maas, E.; Visser, M.; Hoekstra, T.; Schaap, L.

2026-04-11 rehabilitation medicine and physical therapy 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350593 medRxiv
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Background/Objective: Common measures of physical activity (PA) based on duration and intensity do not fully capture its complexity. Adding additional PA components of muscle strength, mechanical strain, and turning actions, can provide a more complete view of activity behavior. Furthermore, PA behaviors differ between men and women. Therefore, the goal of this study is to identify and cluster similar long-term PA patterns over time for each PA component, examined separately for men and women. Methods: We used data from 4963 participants (52% women; mean age 66 years, SD = 8.6) of the Longitudinal Aging Study Amsterdam (1992 to 2019). PA component scores were assigned to self-reported activities, and Sequence Analysis with Optimal Matching was used to identify and cluster similar activity patterns over a period of 10 years, separately for each component and stratified by sex. Results: PA components varied by sex and displayed a unique mix of trajectories, including predominately low, medium, or high activity, increasing or decreasing patterns, and trajectories characterized by early or late mortality. Importantly, trajectories remained independent, indicating that changes in one PA component were not linked to changes in others. Conclusion: Older men and women follow distinct and independent long term PA trajectories across components, underscoring that PA behaviour cannot be described by a single dimension. Significance/Implications: The observed independence and heterogeneity of trajectories suggest that muscle strength, mechanical strain, and turning actions capture meaningful and distinct aspects of PA that are not reflected by traditional measures alone. Future PA-strategies could incorporate these dimensions and acknowledge sex-specific patterns to better reflect natural movement. The independence of components suggests that future interventions should target multiple dimensions, as changes in one component may not translate to others. Such an approach may support more tailored and sustainable PA interventions in later life.

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Social, economic, and environmental disparities in device-measured 24-hour movement behaviours in a nationally representative cohort of older English adults

Brocklebank, L.; Steptoe, A.; Bloomberg, M.; Doherty, A.

2026-03-27 public and global health 10.64898/2026.03.25.26349270 medRxiv
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Abstract Background: Insufficient physical activity, excessive sedentary time, and suboptimal sleep are linked to premature mortality and chronic disease and may contribute to social inequalities in health, but most evidence is self-reported. Device-measured, nationally representative data capturing the full 24-hour movement spectrum remain scarce, particularly among older adults. This study examined social, economic, and environmental disparities in 24-hour movement behaviours in the 2021-23 English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA) accelerometry sub-study. Methods: A subset of 5,382 ELSA participants (71.9%) was invited to wear an Axivity AX3 wrist accelerometer for eight days, with 4,354 (80.9%) agreeing. Raw data were processed using machine learning to derive step count, sleep duration, moderate-to-vigorous and light physical activity, sedentary time, and time in bed. Cross-sectional associations with sex, age, education, marital status, wealth, and urbanicity were examined using linear regression. Findings: Data from 3,648 participants (mean age 68.5 {+/-} 9.3 years; 44.3% men) were included in wear time analyses (median 6.6 days, IQR 6.0-6.9), with 3,161 (86.7%) having sufficient wear time for movement behaviour analyses. Older, unmarried, or lower education/wealth participants were less active, more sedentary, and slept less. Rural participants were more active than urban participants. Women accumulated fewer steps and less moderate-to-vigorous physical activity and sedentary time, but more light activity and longer sleep than men. Interpretation: Social, economic, and environmental disparities exist across the full 24-hour movement spectrum, highlighting population groups for targeted interventions. Follow-up data will clarify how 24-hour movement behaviours influence healthy ageing and contribute to social inequalities in health.

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Multimorbidity Patterns and Associated Factors Among Middle-Aged and Older Adults in China: Evidence from the CHARLS Study

Wang, Z.; Skou, S. T.; Chen, Y.; Estill, J.

2026-04-02 geriatric medicine 10.64898/2026.03.31.26349821 medRxiv
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Background: Despite the growing global burden of multimorbidity, the patterns of disease combinations, have not been extensively categorized. We aimed to explore the predictors, health consequences, and patterns of discordant and concordant multimorbidity. Methods: We used the 2018 China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), a representative database of adults aged >45 years from China. We conducted logistic regression analyses to assess the likelihood of having discordant (conditions from different disease systems) versus concordant (only cardiometabolic, or only respiratory diseases) multimorbidity, and to compare the health status and healthcare utilization between patients with discordant and concordant multimorbidity. Latent class analysis (LCA) was applied to both the entire sample and to patients with discordant multimorbidity to identify clusters of disease combinations. Results: The sample included 1668 patients with concordant (mainly cardiometabolic), and 7306 patients with discordant, multimorbidity. Female patients, patients living in rural settings, former and current smokers, and patients engaging in high-intensity physical activity, were more likely to have discordant instead of concordant multimorbidity. Depression, limitations in daily activities, poor self-reported health, and frequent healthcare use were more common in patients with discordant than concordant multimorbidity. The LCA identified five clusters when all multimorbid patients were included (cardiometabolic, arthritis-digestive, respiratory, multisystem, and arthritis-hypertension classes), and four clusters when restricted to discordant multimorbidity (digestive, arthritis-cardiometabolic, respiratory, and multisystem classes). Conclusion: Discordant multimorbidity is associated with poorer health and increased use of healthcare. Cardiometabolic diseases, arthritis, and digestive diseases have a central role in defining disease patterns.

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Effects of HIIT and HIIT plus Resistance Training on Cerebral Blood Flow and Other Health Outcomes in Individuals with Coronary Artery Disease: The Heart-Brain Randomized Controlled Trial

Sanchez-Aranda, L.; Toval, A.; Bakker, E. A.; Solis-Urra, P.; Martin-Fuentes, I.; Fernandez-Ortega, J.; Alonso-Cuenca, R. M.; Olvera-Rojas, M.; Fernandez-Gamez, B.; Coca-Pulido, A.; Gonzalez-Garcia, A.; Bellon, D.; Sclafani, A.; Sanchez-Martinez, J.; Rivera-Lopez, R.; Herrera-Gomez, N.; Barranco-Moreno, E. J.; Amaro-Gahete, F. J.; Carlen, A.; Migueles, J. H.; Wang, D. J. J.; Erickson, K. I.; Moreno-Escobar, E.; Garcia-Orta, R.; Esteban-Cornejo, I.; Ortega, F. B.

2026-03-25 sports medicine 10.64898/2026.03.23.26347205 medRxiv
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Background: Individuals with coronary artery disease (CAD) are at higher risk of cognitive decline and dementia, in which gray matter cerebral blood flow (CBF) plays a critical role. This study investigated the effects of High Intensity Interval Training (HIIT) and HIIT plus resistance training (RT) on CBF and other health outcomes in individuals with CAD. Methods: This trial included 105 participants with CAD (age 62.1 (SD 6.6) years, 21% women) randomly assigned to HIIT+RT (n=37), HIIT (n=35) or usual care (n=33). The primary outcome was the change in global CBF from baseline to 12-week follow-up. Secondary outcomes included: region-specific CBF (hippocampus, precuneus, and anterior/posterior cingulate cortex), cognitive function (general cognition, episodic memory, processing speed, working memory and executive function/attentional control), peak oxygen uptake (VO2peak), muscular fitness (30s sit-to-stand) and body composition [weight, body mass index (BMI), and fat and muscle mass). Data were analyzed using available-case intention-to-treat constrained (baseline-adjusted) linear mixed models. Predefined subgroup analyses were conducted for age, sex, education, and baseline level of the outcome studied. Results: No significant between-group differences were observed in CBF changes in the whole sample. However, participants with lower CBF at baseline showed greater CBF increases in the HIIT group compared to both usual care (+7.1 ml/100g/min, P=0.02) and HIIT+RT (+5.53 ml/100g/min, P=0.04). No effects were observed on regional CBF or cognition. Both exercise groups improved VO2peak compared to usual care (HIIT+RT: +2.6; HIIT: +2.5 mL/kg/min, both P<0.001). Only HIIT+RT increased muscular fitness (vs usual care: +3.3; vs HIIT: +3.1 repetitions, both P<0.001), and only HIIT decreased BMI (vs usual care: -0.47; vs HIIT+RT: -0.44 kg/m2, both P<0.03). No life-threatening events or deaths occurred during 1995 training sessions in the exercise groups, nor in the usual care group. Conclusion: Twelve weeks of HIIT+RT or HIIT did not increase CBF in the whole sample with CAD, but HIIT effectively increased CBF in those who had poorer CBF at baseline. While no cognitive benefits were observed, we found exercise-specific improvements in other clinically relevant outcomes, such as VO2peak, muscular fitness, and BMI.

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The Effects of AI-Guided Exercise and a Smart Ring on Arterial Stiffness (GONDOR-AS): protocol for a randomized controlled trial

Pentikäinen, H.; Strömmer, S.; Caraker, D.; Kosonen, J.; Rantanen, A.; Hiltunen, S.; Komulainen, P.; Similä, H.; de Zambotti, M.; Savonen, K. P.; Ohukainen, P.

2026-03-22 sports medicine 10.64898/2026.03.19.26348812 medRxiv
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BackgroundCardiovascular disease (CVD) prevention is limited by the major challenge of low long-term adherence to effective lifestyle regimens. Arterial stiffness (measured by carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity, cfPWV) and maximal cardiorespiratory fitness (measured by VO2max), are modifiable risk factors for CVD but require sustained lifestyle change. Wearable technology provides continuous measurement and offers a scalable platform to deliver health interventions. A combination of continuous monitoring with a wearable device and an artificial intelligence (AI) -based coach personalized for individual data and preferences could be a powerful, low-barrier tool for achieving sustainable cardiovascular health benefits by directly addressing the adherence challenge. ObjectiveWe will study the comparative effectiveness of a wearable and an interactive app-based AI coaching intervention promoting moderate exercise on improving gold-standard cfPWV and VO2max. This will be compared to a supervised high-intensity interval training (HIIT) group (benchmark with known benefits for VO2max) and a control group using only Oura Ring (passive monitoring). We will also conduct a detailed Process Evaluation (structured interviews) to study the feasibility and experience of interacting with the AI coach. MethodsThis randomized controlled trial recruited 165 eligible sedentary participants aged 30-65 years. Co-primary outcomes cfPWV and VO2max were measured at baseline and will be repeated after 12 weeks. Participants were equally randomized into three groups: an AI-based coaching group (steady-state exercise), a HIIT group (supervised exercise) and a control group (usual low activity). The AI-based coaching group receives personalized guidance using large language model (LLM) technology. All participants wear Oura Ring and are blinded to cardiovascular health metrics provided by the ring. ResultsThe recruitment for the study began in October 2024 and will end when 165 men and women have been recruited. Data collection for the study is scheduled to conclude early 2026. Data collection is ongoing. ConclusionsThis study will evaluate if a highly scalable, AI-based coaching intervention can achieve comparable gains in CV structural health (cfPWV) and functional capacity VO2max relative to a resource-intensive supervised HIIT benchmark. The findings will provide essential evidence on the use of digital health tools to promote sustainable exercise adherence. ClinicalTrials.gov registration identifierNCT06644014 (Registered: 2024-10-15)

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Association between sleep quality and left ventricular structure in the Southall and Brent REvisited (SABRE) tri-ethnic study

Ghei, E.; Chaturvedi, N.; Park, C. M.; Hughes, A.; Garfield, V.

2026-04-07 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.04.07.26349436 medRxiv
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Abstract Background: Poor sleep quality is associated with increased cardiovascular risk, although its relationship with left ventricle (LV) structure is poorly understood and ethnic differences in the relationship between sleep and LV structure have not been studied. We investigated the association between poor sleep quality and LV structure in a tri-ethnic cohort. Methods: A total of 1284 participants were analysed from the Southall and Brent Revisited (SABRE) study (age=49.9{+/-} 6.2y; male 75.9%, Europeans (EU)=615, South Asians (SA)=457, African/African-Caribbean (AC)=212). A composite sleep quality score was calculated, and LV structure was measured using echocardiography. Associations between sleep quality and LV mass indexed to height1.7 (LVMi), relative wall thickness (RWT) and LV end-diastolic volume indexed to height1.7 (LVEDVi) were estimated using multivariable linear regression with adjustment for demographic and lifestyle factors across three models. Analyses were performed in the whole cohort and stratified by ethnicity. Results: Compared with those who reported very good sleep quality, participants with poorer sleep quality had higher LVMi (4.8 (95% CI 1.4; 8.2)g/(m1.7*unit sleep score); p=0.006). When stratifying by ethnicity, the association between sleep quality and LVMi was unconvincing in EU (1.9(-3.5, 7.3)g/(m1.7*unit sleep score); p=0.493), whereas poor sleep was associated with higher LVMi in AC and SA participants (9.1(1.3;16.8)g/(m1.7*unit sleep score); p=0.023 and 5.8(0.5;11.0)g/(m1.7*unit sleep score); p=0.031 respectively). Conclusions: Poor sleep quality is associated with higher LVMi in older African/African-Caribbeans and South Asians, but not in Europeans. This may contribute to cardiovascular risk. Keywords: sleep, left ventricle, hypertrophy, remodelling

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Years Lived without Chronic Diseases after Statutory Retirement - A Register Linkage Follow-up Study in Finland 2000-2021

Pietilainen, O.; Salonsalmi, A.; Rahkonen, O.; Lahelma, E.; Lallukka, T.

2026-04-13 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.12.26348889 medRxiv
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Objectives: Longer lifespans lead to longer time on retirement, despite the efforts to raise the retirement age. Therefore, it is important to study how the retirement years can be spent without diseases. This study examined socioeconomic and sociodemographic differences in healthy years spent on retirement. Methods: We followed a cohort of retired Finnish municipal employees (N=4231, average follow-up 15.4 years) on national administrative registers for major chronic diseases: cancer, coronary heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, diabetes, asthma or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, dementia, mental disorders, and alcohol-related disorders. Median healthy years on retirement and age at first occurrence of illness (ICD-10 and ATC-based) in each combination of sex, occupational class, and age of retirement were predicted using Royston-Parmar models. Prevalence rates for each diagnostic group were calculated. Results: Most healthy years on retirement were spent by women having worked in semi-professional jobs who retired at age 60-62 (median predicted healthy years 11.6, 95% CI 10.4-12.7). The least healthy years on retirement were spent by men having worked in routine non-manual jobs who retired after age 62 (median predicted healthy years 6.5, 95% CI 4.4-9.5). Diabetes was slightly more common among lower occupational class women, and dementia among manual working women having retired at age 60-62. Discussion: Healthy years on retirement are not enjoyed equally by women and men and those who retire early or later. Policies aiming to increase the retirement age should consider the effects of these gaps on retirees and the equitability of those effects.

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Explainable AI for Frailty and Fall Risk Prediction in Older Adults

Nobrega, T.; Santos, T.; Anjos, H.; Gomes, B.; Cunha, F.; Oliveira, P.; Baptista, R.; Pizarro, A.; Mota, J.; Goncalves, D. M.; Henriques, R.; Costa, R. S.

2026-03-22 health informatics 10.64898/2026.03.13.26347338 medRxiv
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Frailty is a geriatric syndrome that reflects a state of increased vulnerability to endogenous and exogenous stressors, exposing individuals to a higher risk of premature death and adverse health outcomes. This work aims at identifying new determinants of frailty and improving screening tools for less studied clinical endpoints. To this end, we analyze a novel cohort provided by the Camara Municipal de Famalicao, comprising 2,862 participants and 6,855 observations across up to four assessment moments, and spanning sociodemographics, anthropometry, functional tests, cognitive assessments, quality of life, and fall history. We combine unsupervised clustering to explore heterogeneity with supervised prediction for falls, hospitalization, and handgrip strength, using explainability approaches to connect model outputs to clinically meaningful patterns. Outcome-agnostic clustering separates functional profiles ranging from robust to vulnerable that align a posteriori with different fall burdens, while outcome-aware clustering further identifies a high-risk subgroup characterized by poorer mobility, endurance and greater reliance on mobility assistance. Supervised models achieve moderate and consistent discrimination for fall prediction (AUROC{approx} 0.66-0.68), and explainability approaches consistently emphasize key drivers including handgrip strength, self-report assessments, and other results from functional tests. Handgrip regression attains MAE{approx} 3.6 kg (R2{approx} 0.49), while a dedicated CatBoost sarcopenia classifier improves detection (AUROC = 0.798, recall = 0.792) at the cost of low precision, consistent with screening-oriented use. Overall, the results support the feasibility of explainable AI for actionable risk stratification in community assessments, while highlighting constraints related to missingness, class imbalance, and selection bias toward an active cohort.

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The Robust Bidirectional Association Between Chronic Lung Disease and Incident Osteoporosis: A Two-Stage Individual Participant Data Meta-Analysis of Three International Longitudinal Cohorts (HRS, SHARE, and ELSA)

Jiang, D.; Bao, J.

2026-03-19 respiratory medicine 10.64898/2026.03.18.26348689 medRxiv
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Abstract Background: The association between chronic lung disease (CLD) and osteoporosis (OP) is well-recognized, but the direction and magnitude of this relationship remain debated, particularly in aging populations. We aimed to quantify the bidirectional association between CLD (including COPD and asthma) and incident OP using a two-stage individual participant data (IPD) meta-analysis of three large longitudinal cohorts. Methods: We harmonized and analyzed individual-level data from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS, USA), the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE, Europe), and the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA, UK), all comprising adults aged greater than or equal to[&ge;]50 years. In the first stage, Cox proportional hazards models were fitted separately in each cohort to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for the forward (CLD[-&gt;]OP) and reverse (OP[-&gt;]CLD) associations, adjusting for a comprehensive set of confounders (demographics, lifestyle, comorbidities, functional status). In the second stage, cohort-specific log HRs were pooled using fixed-effect meta-analysis. Heterogeneity was assessed with the I-squared statistic. Results: A total of 40,050 participants were included across the three cohorts. The pooled HR for incident OP among individuals with baseline CLD was 1.37 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.24-1.51), with similar estimates for COPD (HR 1.47, 95% CI 1.27-1.69) and asthma (HR 1.35, 95% CI 1.22-1.50). For the reverse association, baseline OP was associated with increased risk of incident CLD (pooled HR 1.16, 95% CI 1.05-1.29), COPD (HR 1.28, 95% CI 1.11-1.47), and asthma (HR 1.17, 95% CI 1.05-1.30). Heterogeneity was low across all analyses (I2[&le;]7.5%). Conclusion: This two-stage IPD meta-analysis provides robust evidence of a bidirectional relationship between CLD and OP in older adults. These findings underscore the need for integrated screening and management of both conditions in aging populations.

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REPROGRAM: REsilience PROmotion with GeRoprotectors: AssessMent of biological effect. Rationale and protocol for a trial of biological effect.

Wilson, D.; Acharjee, A.; Duggal, N. A.; Hombrebueno, J. R.; Jones, S. W.; Lewis, J. W.; de Magalhaes, J. P.; Martinez-Serrato, Y. P.; Mazaheri, A.; McGettrick, H. M.; Mondal, S. M.; Naylor, A. J.; Nixon, A.; Nicholson, T.; Partridge, J.; Pinkney, T.; Rattray, N. J. W.; Steves, C.; Tomkova, K.; Welch, C.; Jackson, T.

2026-03-23 geriatric medicine 10.64898/2026.03.19.26348863 medRxiv
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BackgroundAgeing is associated with reduced resilience to physiological stressors such as infection and surgery. This reduced resilience is believed to be underpinned by the hallmarks of ageing, the key biological mechanisms driving the aged phenotype. Geroprotectors are drugs that are proposed to slow down the ageing process and promote longevity and healthspan. Despite this, mechanistic studies in healthy older adults are lacking. Methods and AnalysisThis trial will test the hypothesis that geroprotectors targeted towards biological mechanisms associated with poor resilience can reverse these pathways within a three-week period. Three geroprotectors with a good safety profile in older adults and evidence of effect on the hallmarks of ageing will be administered to 60 (30 female; 30 male) adults 70+. Participants will be randomised to one of three arms (Metformin MR 1500mg, Fisetin 100mg or Spermidine 15mg). Participants will be extensively clinically characterised at baseline. Blood, abdominal adipose tissue and stool samples will be taken at baseline and following the three-week intervention. The primary research question will answer whether a three-week course of Metformin, Spermidine, or Fisetin reduce the number of senescent cells as measured by SA-{beta}-GAL in adipose biopsies in healthy older volunteers. Additionally, there will be assessment of the effect of the geroprotectors on other hallmarks of ageing, including autophagy, immunosenescence, chronic inflammation, dysregulated mTOR signalling, epigenetic age, DNA damage, dysregulated metabolism, stem cell exhaustion and microbial composition. Ethics and DisseminationEthical approval is in place (24/LO/0549). The main trial report and any sub-studies will be published in high impact peer-reviewed gerontology journals, presented at academic conferences and through a series of public engagement events. Participants enrolled in the study will be informed of the results by a written summary. Trial RegistrationREPROGRAM was registered with ISRCTN on 10/09/24. ISRCTN47919839. Available at https://www.isrctn.com/search?q=47919839. Trial Registration Data Set O_TBL View this table: org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1db6074org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1997837org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@a39a11org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@d7e6eforg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@7a5b7f_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP M_TBL O_FLOATNOTable 1C_FLOATNO O_TABLECAPTIONTrial Registration Data Set C_TABLECAPTION C_TBL

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Cardiorespiratory fitness, polygenic risk, and breast cancer in postmenopausal women: a prospective cohort study

Tanisawa, K.; Watanabe, D.; Li, Q.; Fan, X.; Sun, X.

2026-03-19 sports medicine 10.64898/2026.03.12.26347589 medRxiv
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Objective: To examine the joint associations of cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) and polygenic risk with incident breast cancer and whether higher CRF attenuates excess breast cancer risk associated with high polygenic risk in postmenopausal women. Methods: This prospective cohort study included postmenopausal women from the UK Biobank. CRF was estimated using a submaximal cycle ergometer test, and genetic susceptibility was assessed using a breast cancer polygenic risk score (PRS). Associations of CRF and PRS with incident breast cancer were examined using Cox proportional hazards models with age as the underlying time scale. Analyses were conducted overall and stratified by age (40-59 and [&ge;]60 years) and body mass index (BMI) (<25 and [&ge;]25 kg/m2). Multiplicative and additive interactions were evaluated, with additive interaction assessed using the relative excess risk due to interaction (RERI). Results: During a median follow-up of 10.7 years, 500 incident breast cancer cases were identified among 13,907 postmenopausal women. Higher CRF was associated with a lower breast cancer risk in a dose-response manner. Although multiplicative interaction was not significant, higher CRF attenuated excess risk associated with high polygenic risk on the additive scale (RERI -0.84, 95% CI -1.56 to -0.12). This attenuation was particularly evident among women aged [&ge;]60 years and those with BMI [&ge;]25 kg/m2. Conclusion: Higher CRF was associated with a lower breast cancer risk and attenuated excess breast cancer risk associated with high polygenic risk, particularly among postmenopausal women at elevated baseline risk, supporting a potential role for improving CRF in genetically informed breast cancer prevention.

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Integrated heart rate variability and physiological profiling reveals autonomic phenotypes in older adults from a high-southern-latitude population

Medina-Ortiz, D.; Castillo-Aguilar, M.; Mabe-Castro, D.; Mabe-Castro, M.; Nunez, C.

2026-03-30 neuroscience 10.64898/2026.03.27.714667 medRxiv
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Heart rate variability (HRV) is widely used to assess autonomic regulation, but its interpretation in older adults is influenced by age, sex, body composition, and hemodynamic status, particularly in underrepresented populations living in geographically extreme environments. We analyzed 530 community-dwelling older adults from the Magallanes region in southern Chile using an integrated framework that combined HRV indices with demographic, anthropometric, and cardiovascular descriptors. After quality-controlled preprocessing, we characterized the distribution and association structure of autonomic and physiological variables and then performed a large-scale unsupervised clustering benchmark across multiple feature spaces, dimensionality-reduction strategies, and clustering algorithms. Conventional descriptors explained only a limited proportion of HRV variability, whereas integrated multivariate analysis revealed a structured continuum of autonomic heterogeneity. A six-cluster solution provided the best compromise between separation, balance, and physiological interpretability, identifying profiles that differed in HRV magnitude, blood pressure burden, body composition, sex distribution, and age structure. These findings indicate that autonomic regulation in older adults cannot be adequately summarized by isolated descriptors such as age, body mass index, or blood pressure alone. Instead, it is better represented as a multidimensional physiological organization that supports future hypothesis generation for risk stratification and longitudinal monitoring in aging populations.

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Greater than the sum of its parts: combining epigenetic clocks to characterize the association of biological age acceleration and adiposity in young Filipino adults

Voloshchuk, R. S.; Zannas, A. S.; Kuzawa, C. W.; Lee, N. R.; Carba, D. B.; Adair, L. S.

2026-03-31 public and global health 10.64898/2026.03.30.26349740 medRxiv
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Background Diverse epigenetic clocks are known to capture health risks associated with increased adiposity, but their estimates have never been combined to represent a holistic estimate of biological age acceleration (BAA). There is also a gap in research using epigenetic clocks to study adiposity in lower-middle income Asian countries. Methods and Findings Data from 1,745 participants (21.7{+/-}0.3 years old, 45% female) of the Cebu (Philippines) Longitudinal Health and Nutrition Survey were analyzed. BAA was calculated using PCHorvath 2, PCHannum, PCPhenoAge, PCGrimAge, PCDNAmTL, and DunedinPACE. After ascertaining suitability for factor analysis (Kaiser-Meyer-Olkin 0.81), factor analysis was used to create PCFactorAge. Analogously, FactorAge was created using Horvath, Hannum, PhenoAge, GrimAge, DNAmTL, and DunedinPACE. BMI, waist circumference (WC), and waist-to-height ratio (WHtR) were used to represent adiposity. Linear regression was used to test the association of each adiposity measure with each BAA measure. BMI, WC, and WHtR were positively associated with both BAA combinations: 5 kg/m2 higher BMI corresponded to 0.097 (p=0.015) standard deviation (SD) increase in FactorAge and 0.099 (p=0.004) SD increase in PCFactorAge; 10 cm increase in WC--with 0.091 (p=0.005) SD increase in FactorAge and 0.094 (p<0.001) SD increase in PCFactorAge; 0.1 increase in WHtR--with 0.164 (p=0.001) SD increase in FactorAge and 0.163 (p<0.001) SD increase in PCFactorAge. Additionally, WHtR was associated with meaningful increases in PhenoAge, PCPhenoAge, PCHorvath 2, PCHannum, PCGrimAge, and DunedinPACE. WC was positively associated with PCHorvath 2, PCHannum, PCPhenoAge, and DunedinPACE. BMI was positively associated with PCHannum, PCPhenoAge, and DunedinPACE. Conclusions Our study presents a novel approach to creating a BAA estimate using multiple epigenetic clocks and shows that adiposity measures predict this factor in a young Filipino cohort.

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The lingering legacy: Resilience mediates the long-term impact of organisational support on police retirement adjustment

Vaportzis, E.; Edwards, W.

2026-04-11 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.08.26349526 medRxiv
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This study investigated retirement adjustment in retired police officers in the UK (N = 289), examining how time since leaving the service moderates the relationship between perceived organisational support and retirement adjustment while accounting for resilience. Results indicated a developmental trend: organisational support remains stable initially but becomes increasingly influential in later life. Using Johnson-Neyman analysis, a threshold of 32.07 years was identified, after which the association reaches statistical significance. These findings suggest an organisational legacy effect; for the older generation, the retrospective perception of being valued by the service acts as a durable psychological resource. This study offers a novel conceptualisation of long-term organisational influence by identifying a temporally delayed legacy effect that extends beyond existing models of retirement adjustment. The study advocate for lifelong wellbeing strategies that extend, recognising that the organisational relationship continues to shape adjustment outcomes decades after the conclusion of active duty.

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Loneliness, Functional Rurality, and Wearable-Measured Physical Activity and Sleep in the All of Us Research Program

Yang, S.; Wu, J.; Klimentidis, Y. C.; Sbarra, D. A.

2026-04-11 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350412 medRxiv
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Loneliness--the perceived discrepancy between desired and actual social connection--is a common and aversive psychological state associated with a range of adverse health outcomes. Several theoretical models suggest that these associations may operate partly through health behaviors. In this preregistered study, we used data from the All of Us Research Program to evaluate associations of loneliness and functional rurality (FR), a study-specific contextual index of reduced neighborhood accessibility, with Fitbit-derived physical activity and sleep outcomes. Final samples included 16,912 participants for physical activity analyses and 13,937 for sleep analyses. In adjusted models, higher FR was associated with greater loneliness ({beta} = 0.061, 95% CI [0.045, 0.077], p = 9.63 x 10-14). FR and loneliness were independently associated with fewer daily steps and lower moderate-to-vigorous physical activity. Loneliness was also associated with shorter sleep duration, greater sleep duration variability, higher odds of short sleep, and higher odds of low sleep efficiency. FR was not associated with sleep duration or sleep duration variability but showed a small positive association with mean sleep efficiency and lower odds of low sleep efficiency. Interaction analyses provided little evidence that FR modified the associations of loneliness with most outcomes, although the FR x loneliness interaction was significant for sleep duration variability, indicating that loneliness was more strongly associated with irregular sleep duration in higher-FR contexts. Sensitivity analyses using stricter valid-day thresholds, winsorization, quartile-based exposure coding, and a backward 30-day window yielded directionally similar findings. These results suggest that FR and loneliness are independently associated with lower physical activity, whereas loneliness shows a more consistent relationship with adverse sleep patterns.